FROM Naples to New York, and from Greece to Iceland, there’s mounting evidence that sheltering in place may not have done much to slow the spread of Covid-19.
A Cypriot epidemiologist tracking the data has thrown his hat into the ring – he says around half of the people infected in Cyprus may have contracted the virus while indoors.
Dr. Elpidoforos Soteriades, who got his degree in epidemiology at Harvard, told the Sunday Mail: “In the case of population lockdown, people were forced to stay at home.
However, once the virus was already spreading within the community, the lockdown was forcing healthy individuals to stay in close contact with relatives that might have been exposed to the virus and could potentially spread the virus at home.”
“In fact,” he went on, “I’m afraid it’s what eventually happened. Evidence from several country reports shows that about half of new infections were directly related to the lockdown.”
If true, it raises significant questions, for the restrictions, are not without cost – civil liberties curtailed, livelihoods and businesses ruined and lives endangered as serious ailments in need of urgent treatment take a backseat amid what seems to be in many instances a tunnel-vision approach to Covid.
Soteriades kept a close eye on the daily reports coming out of Cyprus and Greece. In Cyprus, he’s drawn up a conservative estimate over 35 daily news from the health ministry to identify the percentage of new infections originating from close contacts.
“All daily reports from Cyprus between March 17 and April 22, 2020, were included in a spreadsheet tabulating daily the number of total new infections as compared to the number of new diseases arising from contact tracing of close contacts.
“The assessment showed that an average of 52 percent of new infections, during the above timeframe, was related to close contacts.”